Entering the 2012 season, the New York Mets had two players they hoped would learn new positions well enough to justify their bats in the lineup. One was Lucas Duda in right field. The other was Daniel Murphy at second base.
The verdict is in on Duda; he failed to hit nearly enough to justify what was a league-worst glove in right. He’s back at Triple-A, where he will play left field and first base.
But what about Murphy? It would be too optimistic to call it an unqualified success, but the Mets certainly have to consider the Murphy experiment at least a marginal one.
So far this season, 21 players have qualified for the batting title while playing at least half their games at second base. Among those 21, Daniel Murphy is fourth in OPS+, with his 116 above everyone but Neil Walker (119), Aaron Hill (125) and Robinson Cano (150). It is also right in line with his career mark of 113. So Murphy has hit about as he always does; the learning of second base didn’t impede his offensive performance, or at least, didn’t impede it sufficiently to bring him below career norms.
But what of the defense?
UZR has him at -15 runs over 150 games, easily the worst in baseball. But even so, put together, Murphy has been 13th of those 21 second basemen in WAR, at 1.5. He’s been a net positive because of the offense he’s provided at a position without much of it.
Exactly how easily the Mets can improve on this next season has a lot to do with whether they think Murphy will improve at the position at all. His offense isn’t likely to go anywhere. He’ll earn a decent amount as a first-year arbitration player this winter, but not a ton. Can the Mets find a 2-3 win second baseman for comparable money? (Probably not.) Can they spend more to get one? (Probably not.)
All of which points to Daniel Murphy back at second base to begin 2013, unless the Mets prioritize a longer time window, and can get something substantial for Murphy. His offense, incidentally, would rank him eight in MLB at his natural position of third base, so a number of teams could trade for him to upgrade at that position. And lest we ignore the elephant in the room, if the Mets can’t afford to keep David Wright long-term, they could deal Wright and have a low-cost, reasonable third base alternative in Murphy.
Hopefully, however, they find a way to keep Wright. And if they do, they could certainly do worse than Daniel Murphy at second base for another year.


5 Comments
I really don’t think that Murphy is bad at all, and if all else fails, valdespin can start 2nd, and move Murph to the outfield, where he played a few years ago
Outfield again? Why not try him at catcher and completely drive him to suicide?
Terrific piece, Howard…spot on!
You do an excellent job placing stats into proper context.
I’m not a big fan of focusing on somewhat in the weeds,inane stats and believe sabermetrics has harm the wonderful game of baseball. Stats can inform one’s decision-making, but they should be informed by other factors.
I will reference your insights when I encounter folks who love to throw random stats about how bad Murph is at 2nd; how he costs the team more games than he wins etc. You assessment does a wonderful concise job clarifying such unfounded assertions…
btw – As evidenced by his minor performance, Valdespin is not a very good in fielder per se; and, wouldn’t be a step up than Murph at 2nd…
All the best…
Daniel Murphy is the future 3rd baseman of the Mets
You might have something there, Chris.