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I Don’t Know’s On Third

Posted By Howard Megdal On March 14, 2012 @ 2:05 pm In Spring Training,Today's Mets headlines | Comments Disabled

So the news on David Wright is… not good. Wright has a muscle tear in his rib cage, and will wait at least 48 hours for the anti-inflammatory shot he had to kick in before resuming any activities at all.

Wright said all the right things [1], and that’s great- but Wright’s attitude isn’t the problem here. His rib cage is. As Adam Rubin reported [2], “David Wright also said Opening Day is not in jeopardy in his mind.”

And hey, that’s great, too. Unfortunately, Opening Day isn’t played in David Wright’s mind. In my mind’s Opening Day, Jose Reyes is still playing shortstop for the Mets, and Jason Bay has been replaced by either a slightly younger Jason Bay, or more optimally, the much younger Jason Bay who had his whole career ahead of him when the Mets traded him away.

It isn’t clear whether the Moonlight Graham who is a promising outfielder, or the Moonlight Graham who is a doctor is there. The Mets need both.

Meanwhile, in reality baseball land, Washington’s Ryan Zimmerman had the identical injury [3], tried and failed to rehab it, had surgery, and missed 60 games. No word on how many games Zimmerman thought he’d miss in his mind, but the smart money is on “less than 60”.

A careful analysis of Dan Szymborski’s ZIPS projections for potential third base replacements will probably start you drinking, even this early in the day. (Hey, Mad Men returns March 25, after all.)

 Zach Lutz checks in at .233/.313/.367. Josh Satin comes in at .238/.313/.359. I have reached out to Dan for a ZIPS projection of Dave Magadan- hey, the Mets need baserunners- and will update when he provides it.

Simply put, the Mets have little depth anywhere, but are particularly vulnerable at third base. So Mets fans better pray that David Wright’s mind is onto something here.

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[1] Wright said all the right things: http://espn.go.com/blog/new-york/mets/category/_/name/david-wright-players

[2] As Adam Rubin reported: https://twitter.com/#!/AdamRubinESPN/status/179912030176817153

[3] had the identical injury: https://twitter.com/#!/AdamRubinESPN/status/179919985920065537

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