I received some interesting posts in response to something I had written about Mo Vaughn. The acquistion of Vaughn was ripped, and rightly so, based on the results. It’s always easier to analyze after the fact, but a lot of variables must be considered in evaluating a trade.
Among the factors are: the competitive level of the teams at the time; what those teams needs were; and sometimes where the players are in the careers.
All these variables and others must be looked at to properly evaluate a deal or signing.
For example, Nolan Ryan for Jim Fregosi. While there’s no way you can say now this worked out for the Mets, you have to understand their thinking at the time.
- Ryan was all potential with a wild streak. The Mets also had a solid pitching core in Tom Seaver, Jerry Koosman and Gary Gentry. Ryan was uncomfortable in New York and wanted out. Ryan represented both a surplus in pitching and an uncertainty.
- The Mets needed a third baseman (the position has long been a black hole) and Fregosi was a solid player.
Of course, the Mets don’t make the deal if they knew Ryan would win all those games, but they weren’t sure what they would get in him and had a reasonable idea of what they were getting in Fregosi based on their needs.