Here’s a look at those already in the organization who could factor in the Mets’ rotation next year:
* Tom Glavine: They need him back, but his family wants him to stay in Atlanta. If Glavine believes the Braves can get back to the playoffs and the money is comparable, then he probably is gone. I’d be worried about this one.
* Pedro Martinez: Had rotator cuff surgery and won’t be back until the All-Star break. And, when he does come back nobody can say how good he’ll be.
* Steve Trachsel: Won 15, but fell off the radar. Team didn’t like him leaving at the end of the season (I guess family matters aren’t important to ball clubs. Their attitude would have been different had it been Pedro). Hard to believe he’ll be back.
* Oliver Perez: Rescued off junk pile and showed enough to where he’ll get a chance. Pitched well in NLCS, but don’t forget why he was on junk pile to begin with.
* John Maine: Emerged when Martinez was injured. Showed a lot of composure. Right now, barring injury next spring, he’s the first given because you don’t know about Glavine. Note: for those crying about Kris Benson, remember Maine was part of that deal.
* Brian Bannister: Made rotation last spring but blew out hammy in April and wasn’t heard from until the end of the year. Still unproven.
* Dave Williams: Came in midseason trade and provided a handful of quality starts. Not a natural, but could be a solid back-of-the-rotation guy.
* Victor Zambrano: Now, don’t get excited. Hard to believe team will offer arbitration after coming off surgery.
* Mike Pelfrey: Showed promise in spot start, but still unproven over the long haul. Mets aren’t going into spring training thinking he’ll wind up in rotation. That’s too optimistic.
* Phil Humber: Prospect coming back from injury. Will be in the spring training mix, but a reach to say he’s in the rotation.
* Aaron Heilman: They just don’t seem to want to give him the ball to start a game. Maybe it’s because he doesn’t have a great third or fourth pitch. But, if he can get them through five more often than not, than that’s what a good fifth starter does.
Conclusion: They better sign Glavine and you can bet they’ll be players in the free-agent market. Unless they want to package Lastings Milledge (and I have no problem with that) and maybe Heilman, they don’t have much to offer in a trade.